Tropical Storm Elsa Forms Thursday Morning – Heading Toward Windward Islands

The Weather Authority

He have Elsa. The tropical storm formed Thursday morning and it is headed toward the Windward Islands and eastern Caribbean Sea. It’s a little stronger at 10am. Winds are up from 40 mph to 45 mph respectively. Here is the latest track:

It’s early, but interests along the gulf coast and southeast need to monitor Elsa through the 4th of July weekend. Impacts are possible across the southeast early next week. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center:

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       
1100 AM AST Thu Jul 01 2021

...ELSA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE AS IT RACES TOWARD THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.1N 51.4W
ABOUT 680 MI ESE OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Barbados
* Martinique
* St. Lucia
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Grenada and its dependencies

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti
should monitor the progress of this system.  Additional watches and
warnings will likely be required later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was
located near latitude 10.1 North, longitude 51.4 West. Elsa is
moving toward the west near 28 mph.  An even faster motion
toward the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours.
On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of
the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move
into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and
move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday. By early 
Sunday Elsa is forecast to move near portions of eastern Cuba. 

Recent satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds 
are now near 45 mph with higher gusts.  Some additional 
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. 

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles, 
mainly to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


		

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