The National Hurricane Center upped the odds of near-term tropical cyclone development just off the coast of Georgia and Florida Friday afternoon.
The latest outlook reads like this:
An elongated low pressure area centered about 150 miles east of Daytona Beach, Florida, continues to produce some showers and thunderstorms. This system has become better organized since yesterday, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the low meanders offshore or near the Florida peninsula.
Interests in Florida should monitor the progress of this system.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER – Forecaster Blake
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50percent.
Here’s some insight from one of the men writing the outlooks. If you want a good follow on Twitter for tropical meteorology, Philippe Papin is a wealth of information:
Where might it go?
If – IF – it develops into a depression or storm, the steering currents are pretty weak right now. That means there is no clear direction for future movement; that leads to a lot of uncertainty and ‘spread’ among the model guidance.
Here is the updated names list. Fred is next.