Waking up to some light rain shower activity across the Tennessee Valley this morning. Rain will overspread the area by mid to late morning as the cold front approaches the region. Rainfall will be steady at times by the afternoon with pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall being the main concern. Potential to see some embedded thunderstorms develop by the afternoon hours with the primary threats being flash flooding and gusty winds.

Winds today will be on the strong side, first out of the south before shifting out of the north by this evening. Expected sustain winds to be between 10-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible, especially as the cold front passes through the area. Temperatures are expected to be warmer than previous days with highs expected to near 60 degrees.

With Precipitable Water values in the range of 1.3-1.5 inches, it supports the threat of heavy rainfall. With deep moisture content, any showers or storms that form today will be able to tap into this moisture.

Model data is trending higher amounts of 1 to 2 inches across northwest Alabama, with localized higher amounts possible. The Weather Prediction Center has the majority of our area at a Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall. This means that isolated areas of flash flooding will be possible, especially in those areas prone to flooding. Localized flooding may also become an issue in areas that see multiple rounds of heavier rainfall.