So far, it has been slow going to what is expected to be an active Atlantic hurricane season. There really has not been much to talk about over the past few months, but now that we are nearing the peak of hurricane season some storms could be ready to form.

We are now nearing the end of August and there have only been three named storms this season. Looking at the climatological average from 1991-2020 we should have had close to six named storms by this time. In addition to having six named storms, two of those would have been hurricanes, based on the seasonal average. This season we have yet to have a hurricane develop in the Atlantic.

It has been a total of 55 days since our last named storm. That was Tropical Storm Collin back on July 2-3. The reason for the slow start to this hurricane season has a lot to do with the conditions over the Atlantic. There has been a lot of Saharan dust that has been suppressing any development. However, conditions are becoming more favorable in parts of the Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring multiple areas that may develop into storms in the coming days. The majority of the areas have a very low chance of development, 20 percent or less. These areas include the Caribbean Sea, the far eastern Atlantic Ocean, and the northern Atlantic Ocean.

The main area of disorganized showers and storms to monitor will be the central Atlantic Ocean. The environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for further development in the next five days. The National Hurricane Center gives the area a 70 percent chance for development, and has the best chance to be the next named storm this season!

The Weather Authority will be watching these systems and bringing you the latest updates.