HUNTSVILLE, Ala. – A cold front approaching the Tennessee Valley from the northwest may kick off a few strong storms late Saturday afternoon into the evening.
The Storm Prediction Center issued a discussion early Saturday afternoon highlighting the potential for a few strong storms, but noted a severe thunderstorm watch is unlikely.
While the storms are expected to remain very hit-or-miss, the ones that form may contain brief heavy rain and gusty wind.
Download Live Alert 19 now to ensure you receive any warnings if they are required. You can also use the interactive radar feature to track storms as they develop near you.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1674 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0105 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/MIDDLE TN...SWRN KY...NRN MS/AL CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 101805Z - 102030Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AN EASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT. SPORADIC DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT THE OVERALL THREAT APPEARS TOO MARGINAL FOR WATCH ISSUANCE. DISCUSSION...AT 1745Z...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A COLD FRONT ACROSS FAR SWRN KY/NWRN TN...WITH SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT FURTHER SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HRS. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND MIDLEVEL FLOW/EFFECTIVE SHEAR ARE WEAKER COMPARED TO AREAS FURTHER NORTH...SO RELATIVELY DISORGANIZED STORM MODES ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...STRONG HEATING AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS RESULTING IN MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG...WHICH...IN COMBINATION WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR SPORADIC DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS. AT THIS TIME...THE MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO LOW FOR WATCH ISSUANCE.