Hurricane season officially ends at the end of this month, and after a slow start, 2019 looks to wrap up as an above average season across the Atlantic Basin and entire Northern Hemisphere.
I’ve mentioned Accumulated Cyclone Energy before on the blog. It’s a way to measure how active a hurricane season was, and is a better, more accurate measure of the activity of a season than just looking at the number of named storms.
We’ve still got a little time left in the season though, and after a quiet past few weeks, the National Hurricane Center is noting an area to watch in the Atlantic.
This disturbance is not likely to develop into a tropical or subtropical storm, but we’ll keep an eye on it over the coming days.
Here’s the latest from the NHC on this disturbance:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Sun Nov 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with an upper-level low and surface trough. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Latto
Meteorologist Alex Puckett