A ‘high chance’ of development through the weekend


The National Hurricane Center increased the odds on tropical cyclone development in the Caribbean to ‘high’ (80%) Friday Morning.  

The next named storm is “Eta” and this will be an all-time record for named storms (2020 and 2005). We didn’t get “Zeta” in 2005 until December 30. We’ll see how far we get in the Greek Alphabet.

Here is a look at the discussion from the National Hurricane Center:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a large area of disturbed weather 
over the Lesser Antilles and the eastern Caribbean Sea has become a 
little more concentrated this evening.  Conditions are expected to 
be conducive for development of this disturbance during the next 
few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the time 
the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Beven

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