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‘High Chance’ of tropical cyclone development through Friday

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area in the Gulf where a brief (yet real in scientific terms) ‘tropical cyclone’ could develop on Friday.  This won’t have much bearing on the forecast of rain over the South; that’s happening regardless of whether this disturbance becomes a tropical depression or a storm.

If it does become a brief storm, the next name on the list is Olga.

Track the rain, storms and tropical systems with’s Interactive Radar or swipe over to the radar feature on Live Alert 19!

You can also follow it here:

Here’s the outlook from the National Hurricane Center:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Fri Oct 25 2019

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite imagery indicates that the circulation of the low pressure system over the western Gulf of Mexico is becoming better defined, and that the associated shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization.

It appears likely that a short-lived tropical cyclone will form later today. However, the system is forecast to merge with a cold front and become post-tropical tonight over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, gale-force winds are expected behind the cold front over the western Gulf of Mexico today and Saturday. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

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