We have two rounds of showers and storms possible this weekend, but neither are expected to come at the expense of outdoor activities. Both Saturday and Sunday have a chance of rain on the Seven Day Forecast; however, neither day looks like a wash-out.
Weekend rain/storm timing: Got plans to be outside on Saturday and Sunday? Need to do some outdoor work? You will have plenty of time to get it done without interference from the weather.
- 30% Saturday The 30% chance of rain on the Seven Day Forecast for Saturday represents a chance of some scattered showers and a few thunderstorms between 4 PM Saturday and 1 AM Sunday. Warm, humid air moving north from the Gulf may be just enough to spark some spotty storms; however, the rain does not look exceptionally widespread. Saturday’s high? Mid-70s with a south breeze up to 20 miles per hour in the afternoon.
- IN BETWEEN: A complex of storms moving across Mississippi Saturday evening comes as far east as The Shoals by midnight. So, some overnight rain and storms are possible, and if they do manage to come this far, they will have at least a low chance of producing some severe weather. We’ll keep a close eye on that!
- 50% Sunday Sunday’s 50/50 chance is ‘backloaded.’ That means we think the best chance of any measurable rain or locally-heavy storms would occur late Sunday (most likely early Monday). Most of Sunday looks breezy and warm: likely the warmest day of the year with highs in the lower 80s and wind gusts topping 25 miles per hour in the afternoon.
Severe weather potential: The Storm Prediction Center outlines an area where severe storms are possible Sunday into Monday across the South:
The broadly-drawn outlook leaves some room for adjustments and refinements through the weekend.
A strong Spring storm system comes east of Texas late Sunday night into Monday, but there is some uncertainty as to how far north it will be. The farther north, the more risk there will be for some severe storms around North Alabama andTennessee. The closer to the coast, the lesser impact it will have around here.
Be aware of the risk, and understand it’s going to rain either way Sunday night and Monday: whether the storms are severe or not.
Total rainfall through the first part of next week will come in around around 1.0” to 1.5” for most of the Tennessee Valley region.