Tracking the Tropics: Strong Wave In Eastern Atlantic

It’s been a long time since we had a tropical storm. We remember Alberto from late May. Now it’s July and we could have our next named storm. There is a strong tropical wave in the far east Atlantic. Guidance takes the system west across the eastern Caribbean over the weekend as a weak low pressure center. The National Hurricane Center gives the system a 70% chance of development (short-term) as of Thursday morning.

 

Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic

 

There is a look at the computer models through Sunday.

 

Computer Models

 

Beryl is the next name on the list. Here is a look at the discussion from the National Hurricane Center.

 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

Satellite images indicate that the shower activity associated with a
small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located between
the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains well
organized, and a tropical depression could form at any time soon.
This disturbance is forecast to move westward or west-northwestward
at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. However, in a few
days, the upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable, and
the system is expected to degenerate into a trough of low pressure
before it approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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