HUNTSVILLE, Ala. — Louisiana based JMC analytics, released a new poll on Wednesday morning showing Republican Roy Moore with an advantage over Democrat Doug Jones 48-43 with 5-percent undecided.
According to the president of the company, John Couvillon, “The first [factor] is the potential for write-in candidates to drain votes away from either Moore or Jones or both.” This is emphasized in 4 percent of respondents choosing the added “write-in” option.
The poll found voter interest in the race has grown significantly since the first poll was taken at the beginning of October. The latest poll finds 79 percent of those surveyed plan to vote, compared with 67 percent back in October. Eleven percent of those surveyed said they won’t vote and 10 percent are undecided on voting.
The undecided on voting group has also fallen dramatically, from 20 percent when the first poll was taken and 16 percent on Nov. 11, to 10 percent as of today.
The poll found Moore’s support is back to the 48 percent he had in early October, before reports of allegations of sexual assault and pursuit of much younger women were raised.
And, the poll found that voter attitudes about the Moore allegations haven’t led to a continued decline in support for Moore.
Voters were asked: “Given the allegations that have come out about Roy Moore’s alleged sexual misconduct against several underage women, are you more or less likely to support him as a result of these allegations?”
The latest poll found 29 percent of voters were “more likely” to vote for him, the same as the last poll. While 38 percent of voters in the current poll said they were “less likely” to vote for him, also the same as the last poll.
The poll shows Jones had a 3 point loss of support from the previous poll taken earlier this month.
The poll found 49 percent voters found Moore to be qualified to a U.S. Senator — based on the campaign he’s run — compared to 48 percent for Jones. But the poll also found that 46 percent of voters don’t think Moore is qualified to be a Senator, that’s up 11 points from the poll taken in early October.
The poll’s respondents were similar to the prior JMC polls, including the fact that 56 percent of those surveyed were women; 52 percent were 65 and older and 59 percent said they would describe themselves as an “evangelical Christian.”
Numbers dropped for the generic Democrat from the previous study of 47 percent to 46 percent while the generic Republican saw a spike from 45 percent to 49 percent in this latest poll.
Of the 5 percent undecided, 49 percent said they are leaning toward Moore, which is five-points more than the last poll. 44 percent said they are leaning toward Jones; reflecting a four-point drop.