Scattered heavy downpours disrupted many of us this afternoon. Some local neighborhoods experienced more brief flooding from the heavy storms and several reports came out of Lincoln County Tennessee of fallen trees from highs winds. Most of the heavy storms are now out of the Valley as a break from the activity will come for our early evening hours.
Refresh this page for the latest radar image:
The next round of showers and storms will move in after 10PM and could last into Thursday morning. The severe weather risk is minimal (SPC calls it ‘marginal’). In normal terms, that means it’s ‘possible’ but not really all that likely. It’s more likely that we see a few rumbles of thunder and quite a bit more rain from this next wave. Be prepared for another messy commute Thursday.
SPC Day 1 Outlook
(The SPC Day 1 Outlook is updated daily at 12 a.m. CST/1 a.m. CDT; 7 a.m. CST/8 a.m. CDT; 10:30 a.m. CST/11:30 a.m. CDT; 2 p.m. CST/3 p.m. CDT; and 7 p.m. CST/8 p.m. CDT)
While the risk of severe weather diminishes overnight, we’re still concerned with the risk of flooding Thursday morning. We could be looking at another 2-4 inches of rain from Lauderdale County across to Jackson County. The image below is the potential rainfall totals from model data, which means it’s possible that this amount of rain doesn’t materialize.
Considering that grounds are already saturated from the past week of rain, it won’t necessarily take 4+ inches to cause flooding problems during your Thursday morning commute. Flooding has already been a problem this week . It was so serious Tuesday morning that parts of Homer Nance Road was blocked off. Remember to take it slow and be ready to take an alternate route if needed.