This is not at all how it’s supposed to feel in late October. This is hot chocolate, frost-on-the-pumpkin, finally-getting-cool season, but the weather pattern is not cooperating.
In fact, there’s a chance we could set five consecutive new record highs from Saturday to Wednesday.
The only similar stretch of record-setting weather on record in Huntsville? That would be the summer of 2007 (six record highs from September 13 to 18).
Saturday and Sunday feature highs in the middle 80s: some 10ºF above “normal” for this time of year.
The record high on both days is 86ºF set in 1927. It looks like we have a good shot at either tying or breaking those records. With that hot, dry weather comes fire danger. Remember, there’s a burn ban in effect because it’s so dry.
After that, it’s off to the races with unusually hot weather for Halloween, November 1st and 2nd:
A cold front brings clouds and a chance of some spotty showers on Thursday and Friday, but even that won’t be enough to push temperatures below the seasonal “average.”
It should at least start feeling a little more November-ish after November 5th; however, there is no threat of a frost or freeze coming soon. That may not come for the entire Tennessee Valley region until around December First based on current projections.
It’s unlikely that temperatures fall below the mid-30s before Thanksgiving (for the Huntsville area and The Shoals – not the usual ‘cold spots’).
In fact, most guidance keeps temperatures well-above average through the first ten days of December, so sneaking in a freeze may be tough to do.
The latest freeze on record, by the way, happened on December 5th, 1978.
That winter ended up being the twelfth-coldest on record, so you can’t judge a Winter by the preceding Fall (or even how December goes for that matter).