Five record highs possible through next Wednesday

This is not at all how it’s supposed to feel in late October.  This is hot chocolate, frost-on-the-pumpkin, finally-getting-cool season, but the weather pattern is not cooperating.

In fact, there’s a chance we could set five consecutive new record highs from Saturday to Wednesday.

The only similar stretch of record-setting weather on record in Huntsville?  That would be the summer of 2007 (six record highs from September 13 to 18).

skycast-huntsville-tomorrow-breakout-2016

Saturday and Sunday feature highs in the middle 80s: some 10ºF above “normal” for this time of year.

The record high on both days is 86ºF set in 1927.  It looks like we have a good shot at either tying or breaking those records.  With that hot, dry weather comes fire danger.  Remember, there’s a burn ban in effect because it’s so dry.

After that, it’s off to the races with unusually hot weather for Halloween, November 1st and 2nd:

Image produced Friday, October 28th

Image produced Friday, October 28th

A cold front brings clouds and a chance of some spotty showers on Thursday and Friday, but even that won’t be enough to push temperatures below the seasonal “average.”

It should at least start feeling a little more November-ish after November 5th; however, there is no threat of a frost or freeze coming soon. That may not come for the entire Tennessee Valley region until around December First based on current projections.

ECMWF 46-day temperature guidance

ECMWF 46-day temperature guidance/WxBell

It’s unlikely that temperatures fall below the mid-30s before Thanksgiving (for the Huntsville area and The Shoals – not the usual ‘cold spots’).

In fact, most guidance keeps temperatures well-above average through the first ten days of December, so sneaking in a freeze may be tough to do.

The latest freeze on record, by the way, happened on December 5th, 1978.

That winter ended up being the twelfth-coldest on record, so you can’t judge a Winter by the preceding Fall (or even how December goes for that matter).

Need some specifics about the weekend or next week? They’re always online at WHNT.com/Weather and in the “Daily Forecast” section on Live Alert 19!

-Jason
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