Some showers on Friday and Saturday, not enough to dent the drought

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It’s way too dry. Ponds are drying up forcing farmers to make tough decisions. Waterfalls aren’t falling anymore. Agricultural and public water supplies are feeling the pinch.  The dusty conditions are causing people to get sick.

Want a little hope?

HRRR simulated radar for 8 AM Friday (produced at 9:30 PM Thursday)

HRRR simulated radar for 8 AM Friday (produced at 9:30 PM Thursday)

Some scattered showers are possible on Friday; the best chance appears to come over Northwest Alabama.  Thursday night's model guidance showed the potential for as much as 0.10" to 0.25" in spots around Lauderdale, Colbert, Franklin, Wayne, Giles and Lawrence (TN) Counties through midday Friday.

It'll be a tall order to get that on a widespread basis, but we'll take what we can get!  The odds of rain fall sharply east of The Shoals into Huntsville, Decatur, Albertville, and Fort Payne.
skycast-huntsville-tomorrow-breakout-2016

So what does this chance of rain really mean?  A few spots get "measurable rain."

A few showers, isolated storms in Miss., Tenn. and extreme NW Alabama Friday

A few showers, isolated storms in Miss., Tenn. and extreme NW Alabama Friday

We base the percentage chance on the odds of a spot getting at least 0.10" of rain in a 24-hour period.  The 30-40% chance of rain in Colbert, Lauderdale, Wayne, Giles, and Lawrence (TN) is for generally light, spotty areas of rain throughout the day.  The lower numbers farther east represent a slim chance that any measurable rain falls at all.

Drought Monitor Update: Drought conditions have deteriorated across the entire state. The worst drought conditions exist across northeast and east Alabama, especially in Jackson County. With no significant chance of rain in the forecast, we do not expect any improvements in the drought within seven days.

(The U.S. Drought Monitor differs from Alabama State Climatologist Dr. John Christy's assessment, so if you think your county/area is worse than the map shows, you're probably right.)

The drought started in March, occasionally got better with scattered storms now and then throughout the summer, and now it's the worst since 2007-08 with "exceptional" drought conditions expanding into Northeast Alabama.

Need some specifics about the weekend or next week? They're always online at WHNT.com/Weather and in the "Daily Forecast" section on Live Alert 19! You can also track the showers with Live Alert 19 - just swipe over to the radar feature!

-Jason
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