The Storm Prediction Center has drawn out a “SLIGHT RISK” area for potentially strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening around northern Alabama, much of Middle and West Tennessee, as well as parts of Mississippi, Arkansas and Georgia.
This is not the same kind of storm system that produced tornadoes in Alabama, Tennessee and Mississippi last week. In fact, storms developing this afternoon and evening will have limited instability (fuel) and dynamics (wind shear, uplift) to use; that means we don’t expect many (if any) significant severe storms. This is nothing to be overly worried about from a severe weather perspective, but if you have outdoor activities today like baseball, softball, soccer, or you are just working outside, it would be a good idea to be aware of the rain and storms around the area. The image below is the general timeline for the best chance of a few heavy storms with gusty winds and some hail.
Severe or not, showers and storms can be disruptive on a busy Spring afternoon. Stay ahead of the downpours while you are on-the-go:
Information about Central Alabama:
Those storms pass on by Wednesday night, and the rain is gone by midnight. Thursday’s rain chance is now down to 20% because the showers and storms should be long gone before the sun comes up leaving us with a decent day to follow! High temperatures get up close to 70ºF before the next push of cold air sends us tumbling back to weather more reminiscent of late February than early April. See our Forecast Discussion for the latest specifics on where the best chance of some frost and/or a freeze will be for the weekend.